This describes what public data says, together with each source's track record. This is not a buy or sell recommendation, nor financial advice. Investing can lose you money.
Nine Energy Service Inc
NINE
That trajectory is not the distance to the price target: it blends these sources, each weighted by how often it is right on this stock.
earnings estimates
-58.8%
(is right 57%
over a sample of 24 cases;
it is the only source, so it carries the whole move)
.
Provider's reference target (it does NOT feed the move above, which comes from another source): 13.38 (2
analysts, captured on
2026-08-25).
Below is the consensus RECONSTRUCTED from movements you can check one by one; they are two different figures and need not agree.
None of the opinions listed below is still current, so this aggregate cannot be reconciled with them.
The expected-earnings contribution reached
-87.9% and has been capped at
-58.8%: a jump like that usually comes from a depressed base rather than from the price being about to move as much.
Expected return -59% (~12m) with 52% confidence, high volatility · environment tailwind (momentum +6.2%), US leading indicator accelerating (CLI 100.8, +0.6/6m) — growth ahead, gasoline elevated (88p): tailwind for the sector (with reversal risk), Brent fell 11% (qtr); historically your revenue falls (corr +0.65, n=36), institutions accumulating, low liquidity (<$1M/day), peer SND.US +20%, peer DWSN.US -24%, risk-on market — affects position size, not the ranking, out-of-sample post-mortem -1.7% (450 cases).
How much can you trust each source on NINE.US?
Not every source is equally accurate, and none is equally accurate on every stock. This is how often each one GOT IT RIGHT, measured against what actually happened afterwards. The line marks 50%, and it is only a visual reference. For these four sources we have not measured how often chance alone would get it right, and for some of them —such as targets reached— it would not be 50%. Where it is measured is in the technical signals further down, which carry their base rate alongside.
How much it moves
The price trades BELOW the target: punished against its anchor of value, with a possible upward correction.
The environment · is working in its favour
No stock moves alone. This is what is happening around NINE.US and how much it weighs: the environment adds 2.1 points out of the 7 it can move.
Is there fear in the market?
How is the US economy doing?
In United States: leading indicator for United States accelerating (CLI 100.8, +0.6/6m) — growth ahead.
What is pulling and what is dragging?
How much each thing this company depends on has moved in recent months.
Interest rates (US 10-year Treasury): this stock tends to suffer when rates rise (correlation -0.10), and right now they are rising.
Earnings
See the 16 previous reports
| Date | Expected | Reported | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | — | -0.16 | — | no estimate |
| 2025-08-05 | -0.22 | -0.25 | -12.6% | missed |
| 2025-05-07 | -0.15 | -0.16 | -9.4% | missed |
| 2025-03-05 | -0.24 | -0.22 | +6.8% | beat |
| 2024-10-31 | -0.30 | -0.23 | +22.6% | beat |
| 2024-08-05 | -0.37 | -0.39 | -5.3% | missed |
| 2024-05-06 | -0.32 | -0.24 | +25.0% | beat |
| 2024-03-07 | -0.35 | -0.26 | +26.2% | beat |
| 2023-11-06 | -0.47 | -0.37 | +21.6% | beat |
| 2023-08-03 | -0.04 | -0.07 | -83.8% | missed |
| 2023-05-08 | 0.08 | -0.20 | -344.8% | missed |
| 2023-03-07 | 0.34 | 0.28 | -16.6% | missed |
| 2022-11-07 | 0.16 | 0.39 | +143.8% | beat |
| 2022-08-03 | -0.02 | -0.01 | +50.0% | beat |
| 2022-05-04 | -0.38 | -0.24 | +37.1% | beat |
| 2022-03-07 | -0.55 | -0.52 | +5.5% | beat |
See the 6 signals one by one
Of these 6 signals, 1 has its hit rate MEASURED on this stock; the rest carry a reference value that is the same for every company, which is the best that can be said without a history of its own. The «Right» column tells them apart.
Below 8 cases it does not count as measured and the signal carries no weight: 100% out of three and 0% out of three are the same noise. Between that minimum and 25 cases the weight phases in gradually, not all at once.
| Signal | Says | Accuracy | How it is used |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fundamentals | flat | 51% → 50.3% adjusted measured here · 38 |
Adds nothing: its edge is too small to move the result |
| Analysts (earnings) | down | 60% reference |
It counts |
| Analysts (revenue) | up | 57% reference |
It counts |
| Macro environment | up | 56% reference |
It counts |
| Relative strength | down | 56% reference |
It counts |
| Institutional (flow) | up | 60% reference |
It counts |
Fundamental analysis in detail — debt, margins, earnings
Profile against its peers
Each pillar is a percentile within its peer group (same sector and country): 70 means it beats 70% of its comparables. It measures the QUALITY of the business; it says nothing about timing or about the price it trades at today.
Market
Careful with these ratios: within the twelve months behind them a period is missing that the provider does not publish, so they may not add up to a full year nor be comparable with another company's. We do not know why it is missing: sometimes it is the issuer's reporting cadence, sometimes a restructuring that splits the period in two.
Reported results · 12 periods filed with the regulator · figures in USD
| Period | Revenue | Net income | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| ⋮
1 quarter not available as such 2026-06-30 · quarter |
141.8M | -4.9M | -3.4% |
| 2025-12-31 · quarter | 132.2M | -19.2M | -14.5% |
| 2025-09-30 · quarter | 132.0M | -14.6M | -11.1% |
| 2025-06-30 · quarter | 147.3M | -10.4M | -7.1% |
| 2025-03-31 · quarter | 150.5M | -7.1M | -4.7% |
| 2024-12-31 · quarter | 141.4M | -8.8M | -6.3% |
| 2024-09-30 · quarter | 138.2M | -10.1M | -7.3% |
| 2024-06-30 · quarter | 132.4M | -14.0M | -10.6% |
| 2024-03-31 · quarter | 142.1M | -8.1M | -5.7% |
| 2023-12-31 · quarter | 144.1M | -10.3M | -7.2% |
| 2023-09-30 · quarter | 140.6M | -13.3M | -9.4% |
| 2023-06-30 · quarter | 161.4M | -2.5M | -1.6% |
Analysts — latest moves
No target is still valid: all are more than 12 months old, which is the horizon analysts publish for.
| Date | Firm | What they did | Target | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-10 ·expired | EF Hutton | Maintains | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| 2023-01-23 ·expired | EF Hutton | Reiterates | 18.00 | — |
| 2023-01-13 ·expired | EF Hutton | Reiterates | 18.00 | 15.50 |
| 2022-11-08 ·expired | EF Hutton | Maintains | 15.50 | 7.50 |
| 2022-08-08 ·expired | EF Hutton | Maintains | 7.50 | 6.00 |
| 2022-07-19 ·expired | EF Hutton | Initiates coverage | 6.00 | — |
| 2020-12-15 ·expired | Citigroup | Upgrades | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| 2020-05-18 ·expired | Piper Sandler | Downgrades | 1.00 | — |
| 2020-04-08 ·expired | Citigroup | Maintains | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| 2020-03-13 ·expired | Wells Fargo | Downgrades | 0.50 | 8.00 |
| 2020-03-10 ·expired | Raymond James | Downgrades | — | — |
| 2020-03-10 ·expired | JP Morgan | Downgrades | — | — |
The target used above (13.38) comes from the data provider's aggregate and is backed by 2 analysts, captured on 2026-08-25: it is weighted accordingly, not as a consensus.
Insiders — what they do with their own shares
Selling is routine: a good part of their pay comes in shares. Buying is what is informative, because nobody puts their own money into something they expect to fall.