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This describes what public data says, together with each source's track record. This is not a buy or sell recommendation, nor financial advice. Investing can lose you money.

C

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation

LINC.US · Consumer staples(the SEC classifies it as Services-Educational Services; peers come from the sector on the left) · United States · 24.19(close of 2026-09-09 on the exchange)
Analysis computed with data between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-09 — oldest piece: the market and analyst data (16 days).
Also listed as LINC
Bullish
The expected move is positive once the signals are weighted by how often each is right — measured on this stock where there is a history, and with a reference value where there is not. Confidence that the signals point up: 71%
Raw count: 5 up · 2 down. The direction does not come from this count: each signal is weighted by how often it is right on this stock, so a few reliable signals can outweigh many that fail.
119.9% potential upside · 12 months
-57% worst drawdown so far
56%confidence in the move

That trajectory is not the distance to the price target: it blends these sources, each weighted by how often it is right on this stock. analyst targets +119.9% (is right 89% over a sample of 46 cases; it is the only source, so it carries the whole move) .
The target used by the calculation is the PROVIDER'S AGGREGATE: 53.20 (5 analysts, captured on 2026-08-25). Below is the consensus RECONSTRUCTED from movements you can check one by one; they are two different figures and need not agree. The provider counts 5 analysts and from the list of movements we can only show 4: the history of movements it gives us is incomplete, so the list below is not everything there is — and the analysts' hit rate is measured on that part, not on all of them.

Expected return +120% (~12m) with 56% confidence, high volatility · skilled insider(s) selling, US leading indicator accelerating (CLI 100.8, +0.6/6m) — growth ahead, gasoline elevated (88p): headwind for the sector (with rebound potential), institutions accumulating, short 10%, 3.9d to cover, peer UTI.US -20%, peer IEL.AU -31%, technical timing D1: confluence 0.37 (percentile 71) → +1.7, risk-on market — affects position size, not the ranking, out-of-sample post-mortem -1.7% (450 cases).

How much can you trust each source on LINC.US?

Not every source is equally accurate, and none is equally accurate on every stock. This is how often each one GOT IT RIGHT, measured against what actually happened afterwards. The line marks 50%, and it is only a visual reference. For these four sources we have not measured how often chance alone would get it right, and for some of them —such as targets reached— it would not be 50%. Where it is measured is in the technical signals further down, which carry their base rate alongside.

Analyst price targetstimes the price reached their target within 12 months · 46 cases
89%
very reliable and it is still the only source of the move
Fundamental analysisin its sector, did the best grade come with the best return? · 38 cases
57%
contributes little
Insider tradingtimes they bought or sold at the right moment · 24 cases
42%
adds nothing
Earnings forecastshow close they came to the earnings actually reported · 22 cases
0%
adds nothing

How much it moves

56% ANNUAL VOLATILITY · high Out of every 1,000 invested, a normal year swings by about 560, up or down.
-57%WORST DRAWDOWN It already happened: 1,000 fell to 430.
53%UP DAYS Share of sessions that closed higher.

The price trades BELOW the target: punished against its anchor of value, with a possible upward correction — EXTREME DEVIATION: suspect a value trap (the target has not been cut yet). Analyst price target: 53.00 (4 firms).

The environment · is working in its favour

No stock moves alone. This is what is happening around LINC.US and how much it weighs: the environment adds 1.9 points out of the 7 it can move.

Is there fear in the market?

risk-on stress 16 out of 100 — calm
VIX (fear) 14.92
HY credit spread 2.63
Financial conditions -0.56
10y-2y curve 0.40
Dollar (Fed broad index) 118.75

How is the US economy doing?

neutral it sets the pace for every other market
Industrial production +1.1%over 12 months helps
Employment (payrolls) +0.2%over 12 months helps
Unemployment now 4.1% -0.2ppover 12 months helps
Jobless claims -11.4%over 12 months helps
Consumer confidence -10.5%over 12 months hurts
Inflation (adjusted CPI, not the headline) +3.3%over 12 months hurts

In United States: leading indicator for United States accelerating (CLI 100.8, +0.6/6m) — growth ahead.

What is pulling and what is dragging?

How much each thing this company depends on has moved in recent months.

Its country United States +1.1%
The world +0.4%
Equities overall -0.1%
Its sector Consumer staples -1.6%

Interest rates (US 10-year Treasury): this stock tends to suffer when rates rise (correlation -0.10), and right now they are rising.

Earnings

2026-11-09 NEXT REPORT · 2026-11-09 On reporting day this stock moves around twice its usual amount, up or down. It is the most dangerous date of the quarter, and it is known in advance.
-0.01EXPECTED EARNINGS PER SHARE Analysts expect between -0.02 and 0.01. Missing tends to be punished more than beating is rewarded.
15 of 16 TIMES IT BEAT EXPECTATIONS 2022-11-07 → 2026-08-10 It nearly always beats analysts: the good surprise is already priced in.
See the 16 previous reports
DateExpected Reported Difference
2026-08-10-0.01 0.06 +1,100.0% beat
2026-05-110.04 0.14 +250.0% beat
2026-02-230.42 0.50 +20.1% beat
2025-11-100.12 0.20 +68.7% beat
2025-08-110.04 0.09 +143.1% beat
2025-05-120.04 0.11 +223.7% beat
2025-02-240.29 0.31 +5.4% beat
2024-11-110.14 0.13 -5.9% missed
2024-08-08-0.01 0.05 +644.0% beat
2024-05-060.02 0.06 +209.0% beat
2024-02-260.28 0.32 +18.1% beat
2023-11-060.05 0.11 +120.6% beat
2023-08-07-0.02 0.01 +174.0% beat
2023-05-08-0.01 0.03 +403.0% beat
2023-02-270.26 0.38 +47.5% beat
2022-11-070.07 0.13 +103.4% beat

Technical signals that work best here

Each signal has been measured on this specific stock: how often, after it fired, the price moved as expected. The grey bar is what would have happened without the signal.They are ordered by EDGE - the hit rate divided by the base rate - not by the hit rate alone: a signal right 60% of the time where the norm is 40% adds more than one right 70% of the time where the norm was already 68%. When the rounded edge ties, the unrounded figure decides.

1
Price touches the lower Bollinger band on the daily chart
52% vs 46% 275 times
2
RSI oversold on the daily chart
50% vs 46% 216 times
3
Stochastic oversold on the daily chart
49% vs 46% 570 times

An edge of a few points over the base is real but small, and it is measured on the past: it guarantees nothing. Look at how many times it happened too - a high percentage over 30 cases says far less than a modest one over 500.

The last twelve months

+27.3% 2025-09-10 → 2026-09-09 · 19.00 → 24.19
Signal fired · 2025-10-29 Signal fired · 2025-11-04 Signal fired · 2025-11-10 Signal fired · 2026-07-15 Signal fired · 2026-07-21 Signal fired · 2026-07-24 Signal fired · 2026-08-11 Signal fired · 2026-08-14 Signal fired · 2026-08-20 Signal fired · 2026-08-25 Signal fired · 2026-08-31 Signal fired · 2026-09-03

The dots mark when the triggers measured for this stock fired (RSI oversold, RSI crosses above 30, Price touches the lower Bollinger band): 42 times in the year (twelve are drawn, spread out, so you can see where they cluster). They anticipate a move over FIVE days, not a year: this is not a buy signal nor a forecast of what the price will do over twelve months.

See the 12 signals one by one

Of these 12 signals, 3 have their hit rate MEASURED on this stock; the rest carry a reference value that is the same for every company, which is the best that can be said without a history of its own. The «Right» column tells them apart.

Below 8 cases it does not count as measured and the signal carries no weight: 100% out of three and 0% out of three are the same noise. Between that minimum and 25 cases the weight phases in gradually, not all at once.

SignalSaysAccuracyHow it is used
Fundamentals flat57%
→ 52.3% adjusted measured here · 38
Adds nothing: its edge is too small to move the result
Skilled analysts flat98%
measured here · 3 small sample
Does not count: measured only 3 times, too small a sample to know whether it is right
Analysts (earnings) up60%
reference
It counts
Analysts (revenue) up57%
reference
It counts
Skilled insiders flat67%
measured here · 3 of 1 person small sample
Does not count: measured only 3 times, too small a sample to know whether it is right
Macro environment flat50%
reference
Adds nothing: its edge is too small to move the result
EPS revisions flat58%
reference
Adds nothing: its edge is too small to move the result
Relative strength down56%
reference
It counts
Options (put/call) up55%
reference
It counts
Growth vs index up56%
reference
It counts
Short interest down56%
reference
It counts
Institutional (flow) up60%
reference
It counts
Fundamental analysis in detail — debt, margins, earnings

Profile against its peers

Valuation 5/5 36
Profitability 9/9 56
Growth 3/3 86
Financial health 5/6 42
Cash 2/2 31
Shareholder 2/4 27
Insiders 2/2 42
Robustness 3/3 57

Each pillar is a percentile within its peer group (same sector and country): 70 means it beats 70% of its comparables. It measures the QUALITY of the business; it says nothing about timing or about the price it trades at today.

Market

Market cap806.4M
P/E (trailing)34.8
P/E (forward)24.3
Price / book value3.98
Debt / equity112.7
Net margin4.0%
Return on equity11.9%
Revenue growth22.4%
Data as of2026-08-25

Reported results · 12 periods filed with the regulator · figures in USD

PeriodRevenueNet income Margin
2026-06-30 · quarter 142.6M 1.9M 1.4%
2026-03-31 · quarter 144.0M 4.4M 3.0%
2025-12-31 · quarter 142.9M 12.7M 8.9%
2025-09-30 · quarter 141.4M 3.8M 2.7%
2025-06-30 · quarter 116.5M 1.6M 1.3%
2025-03-31 · quarter 117.5M 1.9M 1.7%
2024-12-31 · quarter 119.4M 6.8M 5.7%
2024-09-30 · quarter 114.4M 4.0M 3.5%
2024-06-30 · quarter 102.9M -682.0K -0.7%
2024-03-31 · quarter 103.4M -214.0K -0.2%
2023-12-31 · quarter 102.5M 6.8M 6.6%
2023-09-30 · quarter 99.6M 2.1M 2.1%

Analysts — latest moves

Consensus RECONSTRUCTED from targets still alive (under 12 months), one per firm: 53.00 median, between 50.00 and 56.00 — 4 firms, counting only the latest target from each (leaving out 16 earlier revisions).

DateFirmWhat they didTarget Previous
2026-08-11 Lake Street Maintains 50.00 55.00
2026-08-11 Rosenblatt Maintains 50.00 60.00
2026-06-11 Rosenblatt Maintains 60.00 60.00
2026-05-12 Rosenblatt Maintains 60.00 45.00
2026-05-12 Barrington Research Maintains 56.00 45.00
2026-05-12 B. Riley Securities Maintains 56.00 46.00
2026-03-20 B. Riley Securities Maintains 46.00 38.00
2026-03-20 Barrington Research Maintains 45.00 38.00
2026-03-20 Lake Street Maintains 44.00 35.00
2026-03-20 Rosenblatt Maintains 45.00 39.00
2026-02-24 Lake Street Maintains 35.00 26.00
2026-02-24 B. Riley Securities Maintains 38.00 33.00

The target used above (53.20) comes from the data provider's aggregate and is backed by 5 analysts, captured on 2026-08-25: it is weighted accordingly, not as a consensus.

Insiders — what they do with their own shares

Buys 14 transactions · 43.8K shares
Sells 16 transactions · 769.6K shares
Net -725.8K shares
Held by insiders and controlling shareholders 2.3M shares
Data updated2026-08-25

Selling is routine: a good part of their pay comes in shares. Buying is what is informative, because nobody puts their own money into something they expect to fall.