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This describes what public data says, together with each source's track record. This is not a buy or sell recommendation, nor financial advice. Investing can lose you money.

A

AMN HEALTHCARE SERVICES INC

AMN.US · Health care(the SEC classifies it as Services-Help Supply Services; peers come from the sector on the left) · United States · 34.36(close of 2026-09-09 on the exchange)
Analysis computed with data between 2026-08-25 and 2026-09-09 — oldest piece: the market and analyst data (15 days).
Also listed as AMN
Bearish
The price sits above what the analysis supports: the expected move is negative. The signals do not clearly point either way, with a downward lean of 52%.
Raw count: 5 up · 5 down. The direction does not come from this count: each signal is weighted by how often it is right on this stock, so a few reliable signals can outweigh many that fail.
45.6% potential downside · 12 months
-72% worst drawdown so far
46%confidence in the move

That trajectory is not the distance to the price target: it blends these sources, each weighted by how often it is right on this stock. analyst targets +1.1% (is right 51% over a sample of 86 cases; weighs 19% in the blend) · earnings estimates -56.5% (is right 63% over a sample of 24 cases; weighs 81% in the blend) .
The target used by the calculation is the PROVIDER'S AGGREGATE: 35.57 (7 analysts, captured on 2026-08-25). Below is the consensus RECONSTRUCTED from movements you can check one by one; they are two different figures and need not agree. The provider counts 7 analysts and from the list of movements we can only show 6: the history of movements it gives us is incomplete, so the list below is not everything there is — and the analysts' hit rate is measured on that part, not on all of them.
The distance to the target was 3.5% and it enters as 1.1%: the targets on this stock are only partly met, and the trajectory is discounted for that.
The expected-earnings contribution reached -71.5% and has been capped at -56.5%: a jump like that usually comes from a depressed base rather than from the price being about to move as much.

Expected return -46% (~12m) with 46% confidence, high volatility · solid fundamentals (grade A), insiders selling (routine, little signal), environment tailwind (momentum +3.4%), US leading indicator accelerating (CLI 100.8, +0.6/6m) — growth ahead, institutions accumulating, short 9%, 3.8d to cover, peer NUTX.US +23%, technical timing D1: confluence 0.0 (percentile 25) → -2.0, risk-on market — affects position size, not the ranking, out-of-sample post-mortem -2.2% (638 cases).

How much can you trust each source on AMN.US?

Not every source is equally accurate, and none is equally accurate on every stock. This is how often each one GOT IT RIGHT, measured against what actually happened afterwards. The line marks 50%, and it is only a visual reference. For these four sources we have not measured how often chance alone would get it right, and for some of them —such as targets reached— it would not be 50%. Where it is measured is in the technical signals further down, which carry their base rate alongside.

Insider tradingtimes they bought or sold at the right moment · 1 case
100%
not enough cases
Earnings forecastshow close they came to the earnings actually reported · 24 cases
63%
reliable
Fundamental analysisin its sector, did the best grade come with the best return? · 38 cases
63%
reliable
Analyst price targetstimes the price reached their target within 12 months · 86 cases
51%
contributes little

How much it moves

68% ANNUAL VOLATILITY · high Out of every 1,000 invested, a normal year swings by about 680, up or down.
-72%WORST DRAWDOWN It already happened: 1,000 fell to 280.
47%UP DAYS Share of sessions that closed higher.

The price trades ABOVE the last target on record from analysts: either the move has already happened, or that target has fallen behind. Analyst price target: 30.50 (6 firms).

The environment · is working in its favour

No stock moves alone. This is what is happening around AMN.US and how much it weighs: the environment adds 3.0 points out of the 7 it can move.

Is there fear in the market?

risk-on stress 16 out of 100 — calm
VIX (fear) 14.92
HY credit spread 2.63
Financial conditions -0.56
10y-2y curve 0.40
Dollar (Fed broad index) 118.75

How is the US economy doing?

neutral it sets the pace for every other market
Industrial production +1.1%over 12 months helps
Employment (payrolls) +0.2%over 12 months helps
Unemployment now 4.1% -0.2ppover 12 months helps
Jobless claims -11.4%over 12 months helps
Consumer confidence -10.5%over 12 months hurts
Inflation (adjusted CPI, not the headline) +3.3%over 12 months hurts

In United States: leading indicator for United States accelerating (CLI 100.8, +0.6/6m) — growth ahead.

What is pulling and what is dragging?

How much each thing this company depends on has moved in recent months.

Its sector Health care +6.8%
Its country United States +1.1%
The world +0.4%
Equities overall -0.1%

Interest rates (US 10-year Treasury): this stock tends to suffer when rates rise (correlation -0.10), and right now they are rising.

Earnings

2026-11-05 NEXT REPORT · 2026-11-05 On reporting day this stock moves around twice its usual amount, up or down. It is the most dangerous date of the quarter, and it is known in advance.
0.23EXPECTED EARNINGS PER SHARE Analysts expect between 0.18 and 0.25. Missing tends to be punished more than beating is rewarded.
15 of 16 TIMES IT BEAT EXPECTATIONS 2022-11-03 → 2026-08-06 It nearly always beats analysts: the good surprise is already priced in.
See the 16 previous reports
DateExpected Reported Difference
2026-08-060.19 0.77 +307.8% beat
2026-05-071.62 2.10 +29.9% beat
2026-02-190.27 0.22 -17.9% missed
2025-11-060.20 0.39 +95.2% beat
2025-08-070.19 0.30 +60.9% beat
2025-05-080.21 0.45 +119.3% beat
2025-02-200.49 0.75 +53.7% beat
2024-11-070.57 0.61 +6.3% beat
2024-08-080.78 0.98 +26.0% beat
2024-05-090.96 0.97 +1.4% beat
2024-02-151.25 1.32 +5.4% beat
2023-11-021.63 1.97 +20.5% beat
2023-08-032.15 2.38 +11.0% beat
2023-05-042.36 2.49 +5.6% beat
2023-02-162.19 2.48 +13.3% beat
2022-11-032.40 2.57 +6.9% beat

Technical signals that work best here

Each signal has been measured on this specific stock: how often, after it fired, the price moved as expected. The grey bar is what would have happened without the signal.They are ordered by EDGE - the hit rate divided by the base rate - not by the hit rate alone: a signal right 60% of the time where the norm is 40% adds more than one right 70% of the time where the norm was already 68%. When the rounded edge ties, the unrounded figure decides.

1
MACD bullish crossover on the daily chart
52% vs 49% 102 times

An edge of a few points over the base is real but small, and it is measured on the past: it guarantees nothing. Look at how many times it happened too - a high percentage over 30 cases says far less than a modest one over 500.

The last twelve months

+75.4% 2025-09-10 → 2026-09-09 · 19.59 → 34.36
Signal fired · 2025-10-13 Signal fired · 2025-11-25 Signal fired · 2026-01-07 Signal fired · 2026-02-24 Signal fired · 2026-04-08 Signal fired · 2026-04-14 Signal fired · 2026-06-03 Signal fired · 2026-07-02 Signal fired · 2026-08-10 Signal fired · 2026-08-19

The dots mark when the triggers measured for this stock fired (MACD bullish crossover): 10 times in the year. They anticipate a move over FIVE days, not a year: this is not a buy signal nor a forecast of what the price will do over twelve months.

See the 12 signals one by one

Of these 12 signals, 2 have their hit rate MEASURED on this stock; the rest carry a reference value that is the same for every company, which is the best that can be said without a history of its own. The «Right» column tells them apart.

Below 8 cases it does not count as measured and the signal carries no weight: 100% out of three and 0% out of three are the same noise. Between that minimum and 25 cases the weight phases in gradually, not all at once.

SignalSaysAccuracyHow it is used
Fundamentals up63%
→ 54.3% adjusted measured here · 38
It counts
Analysts (price direction)getting the direction right is not reaching the target down40%
measured here · 86
It fails so often it reads BACKWARDS: right 60% when inverted
Analysts (earnings) down60%
reference
It counts
Analysts (revenue) down57%
reference
It counts
Insiders (selling) flat50%
reference
Adds nothing: its edge is too small to move the result
Macro environment up53%
reference
It counts
EPS revisions flat58%
reference
Adds nothing: its edge is too small to move the result
Relative strength up56%
reference
It counts
Options (put/call) up55%
reference
It counts
Growth vs index down56%
reference
It counts
Short interest down56%
reference
It counts
Institutional (flow) up60%
reference
It counts
Fundamental analysis in detail — debt, margins, earnings

Profile against its peers

Valuation 5/5 84
Profitability 9/9 63
Growth 3/3 34
Financial health 6/6 42
Cash 2/2 90
Shareholder 1/4 63
Insiders 2/2 86
Robustness 3/3 83

Each pillar is a percentile within its peer group (same sector and country): 70 means it beats 70% of its comparables. It measures the QUALITY of the business; it says nothing about timing or about the price it trades at today.

Market

Market cap1.3B
P/E (trailing)12.6
P/E (forward)36.2
Price / book value1.77
Debt / equity104.7
Net margin3.1%
Return on equity15.6%
Revenue growth2.3%
Data as of2026-08-25

Reported results · 12 periods filed with the regulator · figures in USD

PeriodRevenueNet income Margin
2026-06-30 · quarter 673.2M 21.2M 3.1%
2026-03-31 · quarter 1.4B 62.2M 4.5%
2025-12-31 · quarter 748.2M -7.7M -1.0%
2025-09-30 · quarter 634.5M 29.3M 4.6%
2025-06-30 · quarter 658.2M -116.2M -17.7%
2025-03-31 · quarter 689.5M -1.1M -0.2%
2024-12-31 · quarter 734.7M -187.5M -25.5%
2024-09-30 · quarter 687.5M 7.0M 1.0%
2024-06-30 · quarter 740.7M 16.2M 2.2%
2024-03-31 · quarter 820.9M 17.3M 2.1%
2023-12-31 · quarter 818.3M 12.5M 1.5%
2023-09-30 · quarter 853.5M 53.2M 6.2%

Analysts — latest moves

Consensus RECONSTRUCTED from targets still alive (under 12 months), one per firm: 30.50 median, between 18.00 and 40.00 — 6 firms, counting only the latest target from each (leaving out 11 earlier revisions).

DateFirmWhat they didTarget Previous
2026-08-14 Citizens Maintains 40.00 36.00
2026-08-07 UBS Maintains 35.00 32.00
2026-07-22 Truist Securities Maintains 40.00 26.00
2026-06-23 Citizens Reiterates 36.00 36.00
2026-05-13 UBS Maintains 32.00 19.50
2026-05-11 BMO Capital Maintains 26.00 25.00
2026-05-11 Baird Maintains 26.00 23.00
2026-05-08 Truist Securities Maintains 26.00 24.00
2026-02-23 Citizens Maintains 24.00 22.00
2026-02-20 Baird Maintains 23.00 21.00
2026-02-20 UBS Maintains 19.50 19.00
2026-01-15 BMO Capital Maintains 25.00 22.00

The target used above (35.57) comes from the data provider's aggregate and is backed by 7 analysts, captured on 2026-08-25: it is weighted accordingly, not as a consensus.

Insiders — what they do with their own shares

Buys 6 transactions · 84.7K shares
Sells 1 transactions · 3.7K shares
Net 81.0K shares
Held by insiders and controlling shareholders 376.1K shares
Data updated2026-08-25

Selling is routine: a good part of their pay comes in shares. Buying is what is informative, because nobody puts their own money into something they expect to fall.